ADC Coalition Poses Dilemma for Governors Zulum, Adeleke, Lawal Ahead of 2027 Polls

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ABUJA — The growing influence of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) as an opposition coalition platform is reshaping Nigeria’s political landscape, placing Governors Babagana Zulum (Borno), Ademola Adeleke (Osun), and Dauda Lawal (Zamfara) at the centre of an unfolding power play ahead of the 2027 general elections.

Governor Zulum, who will complete his second term in 2027, has been drawn into speculation over the political future of Vice President Kashim Shettima, his mentor. With rumours swirling that the APC may drop Shettima from the 2027 ticket, there is mounting pressure within Borno State for Zulum to take a stronger position in national politics. However, he has denied any intention to leave the ruling APC, describing reports of his planned defection as politically motivated distractions.

In Osun State, Governor Adeleke is preparing for his re-election bid in 2026 amid shifting loyalties. His 2022 victory was believed to have been aided by Rauf Aregbesola, now the interim national secretary of ADC and a former governor of the state. Aregbesola has since returned to the political scene with a message of civility and issues-based politics. Though Adeleke has denied any plans to join the ADC, political observers say his next move will be crucial in a state that may witness a three-party contest involving APC, PDP, and ADC.

In Zamfara, Governor Lawal remains politically isolated in the PDP following a frosty relationship with party leaders during the 2023 elections. Having gained office largely on his own political strength, he is now being courted by the ADC, which describes him as a symbol of transformative leadership. Despite public appeals for him to switch allegiance, Lawal appears reluctant to return to the APC, citing his ongoing rivalry with Defence Minister Bello Matawalle.

The ADC is currently expanding its base through zonal consultations and grassroots mobilisation. Party leaders are focused on building internal structures before entertaining presidential declarations. Aregbesola, who recently returned to Lagos for party activities, has urged supporters to avoid insults and instead challenge the ruling party on its economic and social record.

As the ADC ramps up efforts to establish itself as a viable national alternative, it continues to attract interest from prominent politicians across party lines. However, the success of the coalition may depend on its ability to maintain unity, enforce discipline, and provide a clear vision distinct from the APC and PDP.

While Governors Zulum, Adeleke, and Lawal remain officially non-committal, their actions in the coming months could shape not only their personal political futures but also the broader trajectory of Nigeria’s opposition movement.

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